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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot

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Slot Efficiency

The goal of slot efficiency is of increasing the number of slot switches that can be used without violating the constraints that are predefined. These constraints typically comprise the minimum allowed operational delay (usually expressed in terms of scheduling delays) fairness and equity, access and competition, environmental goals, and more. The process of distributing slots can be a complex process and optimizing it to meet the desired performance metrics requires a thorough analysis of the variables involved.

In general, the process starts with the identification of kinds of requests that need to be prioritized based on established precedents. Once the type of request is determined the slot allocation model is utilized to reduce the delay the criterion. A number of research gaps have been found regarding the models for optimizing slot scheduling, particularly when trying to balance fairness and efficiency.

A common method of prioritizing slot assignments is the ABC (assigned by velocity) strategy that gathers item history data and determines the velocity group. Items with the highest speed are allocated the top slots in the warehouse, whereas those with lower speeds are assigned to the behind.

Another important aspect of slot efficiency is the distance factor, which measures the amount of space that has to be allocated to support the pick-to-ship process. The measure considers the speed group, the placement of racking and the handling characteristics of the products.

It is important to also take into consideration the costs associated with a slot change to improve slot efficiency. A quick look at the typical slot changes can help managers understand the cost associated with the move, and the impact it could have on other elements of slot efficiency, such as velocity.

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Perimeter Efficiency

Wide receivers tend score more touchdowns when they are in a position to hit perimeter targets, rather than slot targets. This is because they are generally targeted downfield and usually face one on one coverage. One thing that might be surprising to some however, is that the top five slot players and the rest of the group score different on perimeter targets.

Of the wide receivers who have seen at least 40 targets each of the last two seasons, the top five slot scorers on the perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom of the list was filled with more possession-based receivers, including Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson. The two latter two are likely to see an increase in their targets this season if the Bucs move them into the slot more often, but they'll need to increase their perimeter scoring to maintain their high standards.

Speedy wideouts are the biggest benefit of moving into the slot since they have a much easier time getting open in the field when their route isn't obstructed by a cornerback or linebacker. The only wide receiver who isn't speedy on the list who can benefit from more slot time is Corey Coleman, as he's an extremely reliable player on intermediate and short routes.

The bottom of the list is populated by possession-based receivers that are more effective on short and intermediate routes than in deep areas like Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy is a good option to be a sleeper for this season as the Rams' primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are largely expected to be involved on more downfield targets. Hamler is likely to excel on short-to-mid routes, given that's exactly what he did well in 2021 when he played for the Bills. He could be a great replacement for the departing wideout Jordan Matthews in Buffalo.

Percentage of Snaps in the Slot

The percentage of snaps that receivers take in the slot providers could be a good indicator for their ability to run routes deep. It is not always an accurate reflection of a receiver's skills, as certain receivers excel in the slot, but they can't play deeper.

Alshon Jeffrey, as an example is the league leader in targets received per game (4.8) However, he's only ranked 6th when it comes to slot receiving scores (58.5). This is because the majority of his targets come from outside and it's difficult to get a first down when playing an open, deep route.

On contrary, some receivers excel at playing inside and aren't able to do much on the outer. Robby Anderson, for instance was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He logged 74% of his route in the slot, compared to only 26% on boundaries routes. This is a huge difference and shows just how much more productive Anderson is when aligned to the slot.

Furthermore there is the Buccaneers' Chris Godwin lines in the middle on the majority of his passing downs, and has a top-five slot receiving score (58.5). He also played 51% of his perimeter routes and is an expert in one-on-one coverage.

Speed receivers are more efficient when they line up inside, as they are able to get targeted down the field, and often are in one-on-one coverage. This is why you'll see names like Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper in the top five on our list.

McDuffie, Moore and other slot cornerbacks are also in this group. Both have been able to create pressures in the passing game, with McDuffie leading the NFL with seven forced fumbles and Moore having the best tackle stop efficiency on this list (-3.5). Through using McDuffie in the slot when they are running nickel or dime-type packages, and then deploying him on the outside in base defense, Spagnuolo has maximized his skills. In addition, Moore's ability to stop big run plays has been an enormous benefit when playing in the slot.

Percentage of Snaps Outside

While the NFL's top receivers such as Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's also worth noting that their slot counterparts are also good. As a group wide receivers with a high slot receiver grade score touchdowns at roughly the same rate as those who are on the perimeter. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to slot and outside receivers, compared to other inside options such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.

This is why it's fascinating to see a receiver like CeeDee Lamb on this list in 2022 since he plays slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. In actuality Lamb is running a greater number of routes in the slot than most players listed on this list. This is an excellent opportunity to create matchup benefits for your team and helps to explain why Lamb is the highest-rated slot receiver in our system this season.

He also plays at the X-position, and can make big plays outside. Lamb isn't nearly as explosive as the players in this list however, he's a very high-graded receiver and is an excellent player for the Cowboys' scheme.

Mecole Hardman is another example of a player capable of posting big numbers on both targets. He is one of the top players in the game at catching throws from behind his shoulders. He's also a great catcher who is contested.

Another player on this list that's a slot specialist in the true sense is Baltimore's Jalen Hilton who has played in the slot on 85.7 percent of his defensive snaps this season. He has the third-lowest EPA for targets and the fifth-best EPA for run stops among cornerbacks who play in the slot. This makes him a key member of his team's defensive team. He's had a difficult time stopping passes from outside, and his EPA against this type of target is negative. This is the result of playing alongside poor linebackers and safeties who don't have the same size and speed, as well as his route-running abilities.