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Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, on the other hand, easier said than done and involves more than just a little reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, numerous people could be making money and also the sports books might have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it's because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. However, if you keep the following tips in your mind, it should boost your probability of winning.
Bet as early while you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early as they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week's games. If you locate a game and odds that you like make certain that there are actually no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Concentrate on a few teams. Because knowledge is important, if you pay attention to a few teams, you can build up a large quantity of knowledge that you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just several games every Sunday.
Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and will rush to bet on them. On the flip side, they may be not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you need to do win a few, the payouts will be small. The very best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, whenever you win, you generally make more than you have bet.
Use totals judiciously. Totals set early in the week are generally according to predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring as well as a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do good by betting the Under
Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look here at the offensive yards gained per play and also the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose find yourself winning more games. The statistics are easily accessible and you can calculate the difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards is worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the 2 teams will be worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
Don't avoid teasers. There's a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and as a consequence best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet can make sense.
Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to determine what difference it is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Don't just look-at key players because all of the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.