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Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, on the other hand, easier said than done and involves more than slightly reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, many people will be making money and also the sports books could have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it really is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. Alternatively, if you keep the next tips in your mind, it should boost your prospects of winning.
Bet as early when you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early as they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the next week's games. If you find a game and odds that you like make sure that you will find no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Pay attention to a couple of teams. Because knowledge is very important, if you concentrate on several teams, you may build up a substantial quantity of knowledge that you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just a few games every Sunday.
Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and will rush to bet on them. Alternatively, they can be not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you do win several, the payouts will be small. The best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, whenever you win, you generally make more than you've got bet.
Use totals judiciously. Totals set early within the week are generally based on predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and also a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do good by betting the Under
Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play as well as the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose wind up winning more games. The statistics are easily available and you may calculate the real difference with a positive difference becoming an advantage. The general guideline to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards is worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the 2 teams is worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
Don't avoid teasers. There is a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and gmtti.edu's website thus best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet might make sense.
Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to ascertain what difference it really is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Don't just look-at key players because all of the guys within the team have to perform at their peak.